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The favourite: Cate Blanchett – the imperious actress has nearly swept the lot for her conductor in Tár. Sadly, that means Bill Nighy, for his brilliant turn as a dying bureaucrat in Living and Paul Mescal, for his sensitive father in Aftersun, are just there to enjoy the canapes.īrendan Fraser in ‘The Whale’. And in the year that the singer’s daughter Lisa Marie Presley passed away, the sentiment may carry through to Butler. But Austin Butler may yet pull off a first win for his stupendous hip-wiggling take on Elvis Presley. That he also took the significant SAG (Screen Actors Guild) award would indicate that his peers are right behind him. But Hollywood loves a comeback story, and Brendan Fraser’s transcendent turn as an overweight literature teacher in The Whale has seen the actor embraced once more. Once upon a time, when he claimed Best Actor at the Venice Film Festival, this was Colin Farrell’s to lose for his poignant performance in Banshees as a simple Irish farmer losing his best friend. Michelle Yeoh makes her action blockbuster comeback in ‘Everything Everywhere All At Once’. But don’t discount Netflix’s All Quiet on the Western Front it’s much admired throughout Hollywood and comparisons to the Ukraine-Russia conflict may well prey on voters’ minds. After winning the PGA (Producer’s Guild of America) award for Best Film, that surely puts it now as the unassailable frontrunner. But it’s the Daniels’ multiverse saga Everything Everywhere All At Once that has grown in popularity throughout awards season.

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And then there were those who felt Top Gun: Maverick would snag it for basically saving cinema last year, thanks to its colossal box office. Likewise, Martin McDonagh’s tale of an Emerald Isle friendship gone awry, The Banshees of Inisherin, which took Best Screenplay at the Venice Film Festival. The rest: Top Gun: Maverick, Women Talking, Avatar: The Way of Water, The Fabelmans, The Banshees of Inisherin, Triangle of Sadness, Elvis, TárĪnd the Oscar goes to… who the hell knows? Those who saw Steven Spielberg’s auto-fiction The Fabelmans triumph at its Toronto Film Festival screening, where it won the oft-telling People’s Choice Award, felt it was his to lose.











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